Flu Cases Surge Across the U.S. as New H3N2 Strain Spreads
Flu activity is surging across the United States this winter, reaching levels not seen in decades. New data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) shows record-high medical visits, rising hospitalizations, and growing concern among health experts as a mutated flu strain spreads nationwide.
Flu Activity Reaches Historic Highs Nationwide
For the first time since flu tracking began in 1997, 8% of all medical visits during the week ending December 27 were related to influenza or flu-like illness, according to the CDC.
Key national highlights:
120,000 hospitalizations so far this season
5,000 flu-related deaths
48% week-over-week increase in hospital admissions
Flu activity classified as “high” nationwide
This marks one of the most intense early flu seasons in recent history.
Flu Test Positivity Rates Climb Rapidly
CDC surveillance data shows a sharp rise in flu positivity since December:
33% of flu tests were positive nationwide (23,350 out of 70,757 tests)
Early December positivity was just 9%
Some states exceeded 45% positivity
States With Highest Positivity Rates
Colorado
Montana
North Dakota
South Dakota
Utah
Wyoming
Northeast Reports “Very High” Flu Activity
The CDC categorized flu levels as “very high” in parts of the Northeast, including:
New York
Massachusetts
North Carolina
Health officials caution that despite some localized declines, the virus remains widespread.
Wastewater Data Confirms Rapid Flu Spread
Wastewater surveillance from WasteWaterSCAN, a Stanford-led tracking system, reinforces CDC findings:
146% increase in flu virus concentration between early and late December
Indicates broader community spread, including untested or asymptomatic cases
CDC Projections: Where Flu Is Rising or Falling
As of December 30:
Flu cases rising in 17 states
Stable or unreported in 7 states
Declining or likely declining in 24 states
Health officials warn trends can reverse quickly.
What Is the New Flu Strain Driving This Surge?
A newly dominant mutation known as subclade K is accelerating the spread.
What Is Subclade K?
A mutation of Influenza A (H3N2)
Structurally different from previous H3N2 strains
More effective at evading existing immunity
CDC data shows:
91% of tested U.S. flu cases were H3N2
90.5% of those were subclade K
Is the Flu Vaccine Still Effective?
While the 2025–2026 flu vaccine is less targeted against subclade K, experts stress it still provides important protection.
According to early international data:
Hospitalization rates are similar to last season
Vaccination reduces severity and complications
Vaccine effectiveness remains meaningful
Health authorities emphasize that vaccination still prevents severe illness and death.
Common Flu Symptoms This Season
Symptoms linked to H3N2 and subclade K include:
Fever
Cough
Runny nose
Fatigue
Muscle aches and chills
Children, older adults, and immunocompromised individuals remain at highest risk.
New York City: Slight Decline, But Risk Remains High
New York City health officials report early signs of decline, but warn the flu remains widespread.
Key NYC data:
128,000+ flu cases this season
Higher than the past two years
6% drop in childhood flu vaccinations
Health Commissioner Dr. Michelle Morse warned:
“We’re not out of the woods yet.”
Officials stressed that flu season can last until May.
Michigan Flu Surge: Pediatric Cases Raise Alarm
Michigan is experiencing a severe and early flu season.
Michigan Highlights:
2,110 flu-related hospitalizations
306 children under age 4 hospitalized
40% increase in hospitalizations compared to last year
Pediatric ICUs reporting children on ventilators
Children accounted for 69% of emergency visits for respiratory viruses during Christmas week.
Doctors emphasize most severe pediatric cases involved unvaccinated children.
Hospitals Report Capacity Strain
Major Michigan health systems report:
Rising emergency visits
High inpatient occupancy
Increased ICU monitoring
While hospitals remain operational, officials caution that continued spread could stress resources.
Why This Flu Season Is Especially Concerning
Health experts cite multiple factors:
Earlier seasonal peak
Higher transmission rates
Lower childhood vaccination coverage
Co-circulation with COVID-19 and RSV
Public health officials also warn about rising cases of measles and whooping cough, linked to declining vaccination rates.
How to Protect Yourself and Your Family
1. Get Vaccinated
Recommended for everyone 6 months and older
Still effective against severe illness
Not too late to get the flu shot
2. Practice Good Hygiene
Wash hands with soap for 20 seconds
Avoid touching face
Clean high-touch surfaces
3. Stay Home When Sick
Do not “push through” illness
Keep sick children home from school
4. Use Masks When Necessary
Especially when sick or in crowded indoor spaces
When to Seek Emergency Care
Go to the ER if you experience:
Difficulty breathing
Inability to eat or drink
Extreme weakness or confusion
Severe symptoms worsening rapidly
Final Takeaway
The 2025–2026 flu season is shaping up to be one of the most intense in decades. While some regions show early stabilization, nationwide flu activity remains high, driven by a mutated H3N2 strain and declining vaccination rates.
Health experts agree: vaccination, vigilance, and early care can save lives.